Jerry Skurnik's blog

Surprising Numbers Behind Charlie Rangel's Victory

The Prime New York voter file has now been updated to include data about the voters who came out in the June Congressional Primaries.



2014 NYC Primary Contests (corrected)

Last Thursday was the deadline to file Party designating petitions for all offices except Congress & State Supreme Court Justice.



2014 Prime News Now Available

The 2014 issue of Prime News, our annual report of last year's NYC Election results will be mailed this week. It can also be downloaded at http://www.primeny.com/newsltr.14/prime-news-14-11.pdf

Low Turnout in 2013 NYC Elections - Who Didn't Vote?

The recent column in City & State by Steven Cohen http://www.cityandstateny.com/bill-de-blasio-and-his-mandate/ that pointed to the record low turnout in last year’s New York City Mayoral election prompted much discussion on line about the reasons for lack of voter participation.



A Belated Report on the 2013 NYC Primary Electorate

It’s a little late but I wasn’t able to really dig deeply into the NYC Primary numbers until recently, so here’s some of what I found by matching the 2013 Primary voter history to the Prime New York Voter File.

A Surprisingly Large Number of Non-Prime Democrats Voted



2013 Primary Contest Prelimary List

Thanks to a former Governor, anyone reading this knows that Thursday was the deadline for candidates to file designating petitions for the Democratic, Republican, Conservative, Working Families, Green & Independence Parties.



Prime News On The Way

Prime News, our annual recap of local election results will be mailed on Wednesday to those on our mailing list. If anyone not on our list wants a copy or if you just can't wait, you can email me at [email protected] and I'll send you a PDF.

The Flaws In The Malcolm Smith CFB Theory

People involved in public affairs tend to see every major event as proof that their previously held theories are correct.

For instance, after the indictment of Malcolm Smith, Mayor Bloomberg said that partisan elections were a reason for the alleged crimes.



The Important Change to NYC Politics That Nobody Is Talking About

An important change in City elections kicks in this year and very few people seem to know about it.

Because of changes in the City Charter, that override the State Election law in local elections, the signature requirements to get on the ballot have been lowered drastically.



I'm Back With A Blast From The Past

Now that Room 8 seems to be functioning, I'm joining Gatemouth in coming back.

Some of you may remember that in 2007, I postulated a theory of the two electorates - a small group of well informed voters and a massive group that could care less about politics. And I suggested that cable TV & the web were largely responsible for this

http://www.r8ny.com/blog/jerry_skurnik/the_theory_of_the_two_electorates.html

This week's Economist has a story that, whicle focusing on cable news, makes many of the same points.

Here it is -



NYC Primary Contests

Designating petitions have now been filed with Board of Elections and we can now see where likely September Primary contests will occur.

 

This list is subject to change as candidates will withdraw or be removed from the ballot after petitions are reviewed.

 

There are also probably typos & omissions on the list I received.

 



Storobin-Fidler Inside The Numbers

The Board of Elections has now released the voter history for those who voted in the recent Storobin-Fidler Special Election.

 

While it’s a little late, as we have had a Statewide Primary election to digest since then, I thought it would be interesting to compare the Special Election voters to all voters in the (soon to disappear) 27th Senate District.

 

Party breakdown



Twitter?

My partner, Stu Osnow, has decided I should tweet. Against my better judgment, I have started. You can "follow" me at Twitter @primenewyork

New Congressional & State Legislative Districts

I'm please to report that Prime New York's voter file can now produce counts & products for voters in the new New York Congressional, State Senate & State Assembly Districts
 
We can produce statistical reports on districts and more importantly, we can produce products, including  walking lists and  phone & mailing files.
 
Contact me at [email protected] if you have any requests.

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